⚽ FootballData
Alloa

Home

2 – 1
HHT: 21CSV

25 Feb 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
30.9%
Alloa
25.0%
Draw
44.2%
Airdrie Utd

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Alloa

vs
1.71

Airdrie Utd

Markets

BTTS62.3%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.7%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).