Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.2%
Famalicao
21.7%
Draw
64.1%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Famalicao
vs
1.77
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.2%
0-3
8.0%
1-0
6.3%
1-3
5.4%
0-4
3.5%
2-1
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).