Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.1%
Brentford
11.4%
Draw
5.5%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
3.34
Brentford
vs
0.88
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.579.2%
Over 3.560.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-0
5.1%
1-1
4.9%
5-1
4.5%
1-0
4.3%
3-2
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).