Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Chesterfield
26.0%
Draw
43.8%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Chesterfield
vs
1.37
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
1-1
12.3%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.1%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).