Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Betis
23.0%
Draw
25.6%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Betis
vs
1.27
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS60.9%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).