Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.9%
Pogoń Szczecin
22.9%
Draw
19.2%
Stal Mielec
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Pogoń Szczecin
vs
1.09
Stal Mielec
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.1%
Over 3.537.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).