Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Ad. Demirspor
28.2%
Draw
39.4%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Ad. Demirspor
vs
1.72
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS67.2%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
0-1
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).