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AHT: 01

14 Sept 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.2%
Ried
33.3%
Draw
36.5%
Hartberg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Ried

vs
1.02

Hartberg

Markets

BTTS39.0%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.558.2%
Over 2.530.3%
Over 3.513.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
15.5%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
14.0%
1-0
12.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).