Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.4%
QPR
22.7%
Draw
19.9%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
QPR
vs
1.14
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
0-0
5.0%
0-1
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).