Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Reggiana
31.8%
Draw
33.6%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Reggiana
vs
1.09
Padova
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).