Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.6%
Ath Madrid
29.2%
Draw
15.2%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Ath Madrid
vs
0.55
Getafe
Markets
BTTS31.3%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.556.2%
Over 2.529.0%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.1%
0-0
15.6%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
11.4%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
0-2
2.3%
2-2
2.0%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).