Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.1%
Lens
8.7%
Draw
4.2%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
3.14
Lens
vs
0.57
Troyes
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.6%
2-0
12.0%
4-0
9.9%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
5-0
6.2%
4-1
5.7%
1-1
4.1%
5-1
3.6%
0-0
2.2%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).