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DHT: 11CSV

17 Oct 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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6.5%
Crotone
10.0%
Draw
83.5%
Juventus

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Crotone

vs
3.41

Juventus

Markets

BTTS58.7%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.593.0%
Over 2.580.8%
Over 3.563.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
8.6%
1-3
8.0%
0-2
7.5%
0-4
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
1-4
6.8%
0-5
5.0%
1-5
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-3
3.7%
2-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).