Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Benevento
29.5%
Draw
42.7%
Como
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Benevento
vs
1.38
Como
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).