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AHT: 01CSV

14 Aug 2021 · 15:00

QPR

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.9%
Hull
25.1%
Draw
29.0%
QPR

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

Hull

vs
1.33

QPR

Markets

BTTS61.3%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).