Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.1%
Roma
18.6%
Draw
9.3%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Roma
vs
0.56
Empoli
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
2-0
15.5%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
8.4%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
5.3%
0-1
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
2-2
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).