Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
AEK
28.3%
Draw
12.7%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
AEK
vs
0.55
Aris
Markets
BTTS33.5%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
2-0
14.4%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
2-2
2.2%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).