Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Deportivo Alavés
30.0%
Draw
32.1%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Deportivo Alavés
vs
1.04
Girona
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
11.1%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).