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06 Oct 2024 · 10:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.2%
Polissya Zhytomyr
22.9%
Draw
9.9%
Vorskla

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

Polissya Zhytomyr

vs
0.50

Vorskla

Markets

BTTS32.5%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.4%
2-0
16.1%
0-0
11.1%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
2.3%
2-2
2.0%
4-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).