Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Lens
26.2%
Draw
21.8%
Nancy
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Lens
vs
0.75
Nancy
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
11.3%
2-0
11.1%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).