Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Accrington
23.1%
Draw
54.8%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Accrington
vs
1.60
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
10.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.2%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).