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HHT: 20CSV

04 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.4%
Reading
31.8%
Draw
36.8%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Reading

vs
1.10

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS43.3%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
13.2%
0-1
12.5%
1-0
11.2%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).