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HHT: 11CSV

24 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Oxford

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.8%
Blackburn
34.1%
Draw
27.1%
Oxford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Blackburn

vs
0.81

Oxford

Markets

BTTS36.7%
Over 0.583.2%
Over 1.555.9%
Over 2.528.0%
Over 3.511.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.8%
1-0
15.4%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
5.2%
3-0
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).