Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Malaga
22.9%
Draw
15.5%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Malaga
vs
0.74
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).