Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Brescia
30.0%
Draw
18.1%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Brescia
vs
0.72
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
13.3%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).