Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.2%
Crotone
12.6%
Draw
79.2%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Crotone
vs
2.92
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.572.8%
Over 3.552.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.7%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-3
8.2%
0-4
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
1-4
5.9%
1-1
5.6%
0-5
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
2-3
3.5%
1-5
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).