Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.7%
Pordenone
23.2%
Draw
64.1%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Pordenone
vs
1.91
Monza
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.9%
0-1
12.5%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.2%
0-0
8.1%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
4.2%
0-4
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
1-4
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).