Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Worksop Town
21.8%
Draw
33.9%
Basford United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Worksop Town
vs
1.58
Basford United
Markets
BTTS66.4%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
3-2
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).