Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.7%
Maidenhead
29.7%
Draw
27.6%
Yeovil
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Maidenhead
vs
1.03
Yeovil
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).