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01 Mar 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.1%
Blackburn
30.8%
Draw
40.2%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Blackburn

vs
1.22

Norwich

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
9.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).