Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.4%
Leeds
11.7%
Draw
3.9%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
2.80
Leeds
vs
0.50
Reading
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.4%
3-0
13.5%
1-0
9.9%
4-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
1-1
5.5%
5-0
5.3%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
4.0%
5-1
2.7%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).