Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Leganes
28.0%
Draw
25.5%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Leganes
vs
0.89
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).