Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Napoli
22.3%
Draw
19.1%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Napoli
vs
0.93
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
2.9%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).