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01 Oct 2022 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.3%
Niort
20.2%
Draw
58.5%
Guingamp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Niort

vs
1.94

Guingamp

Markets

BTTS55.3%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
0-3
6.0%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
3.4%
1-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).