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11 Jul 2020 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.0%
Las Palmas
23.6%
Draw
13.3%
Mirandes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Las Palmas

vs
0.60

Mirandes

Markets

BTTS36.4%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.5%
2-0
14.3%
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
7.9%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-0
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).