Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.7%
Auxerre
15.8%
Draw
9.6%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Auxerre
vs
0.62
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
1-0
13.5%
3-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
5.9%
0-0
5.1%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
2.8%
5-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).