Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Fulham
26.5%
Draw
54.5%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Fulham
vs
1.42
Southampton
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.3%
0-2
12.0%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).