Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.9%
Nott'm Forest
24.3%
Draw
11.7%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Nott'm Forest
vs
0.69
Leicester
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.5%
1-0
13.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.0%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).