Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Santa Clara
35.7%
Draw
21.4%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Santa Clara
vs
0.63
Farense
Markets
BTTS30.8%
Over 0.579.8%
Over 1.549.9%
Over 2.522.9%
Over 3.58.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.2%
1-0
18.6%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
11.2%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
6.3%
1-2
3.9%
0-2
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
2-2
2.0%
4-0
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).