Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.3%
Lecce
19.1%
Draw
11.6%
Pescara
Expected Goals (xG)
2.35
Lecce
vs
0.88
Pescara
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.0%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).