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14 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.4%
Beerschot VA
32.2%
Draw
32.4%
Standard

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Beerschot VA

vs
0.98

Standard

Markets

BTTS41.3%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
14.0%
1-0
12.9%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).