Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.3%
Eldense
23.8%
Draw
21.9%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Eldense
vs
0.98
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).