Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Peterboro
23.9%
Draw
33.8%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Peterboro
vs
1.23
Bolton
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).