Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.5%
Notts County
8.7%
Draw
2.9%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
3.32
Notts County
vs
0.55
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.574.2%
Over 3.554.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.7%
2-0
11.5%
4-0
10.6%
5-0
7.0%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.3%
4-1
5.8%
1-1
4.1%
5-1
3.9%
0-0
2.4%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).