Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Hull
29.9%
Draw
33.6%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Hull
vs
1.15
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).