Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.5%
Venezia
17.8%
Draw
7.7%
Padova
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Venezia
vs
0.64
Padova
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.0%
1-0
11.3%
3-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-0
6.3%
0-0
6.0%
4-1
4.0%
5-0
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
0-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).