Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.3%
Eastleigh
24.3%
Draw
27.4%
Dorking
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Eastleigh
vs
1.36
Dorking
Markets
BTTS63.7%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
4.8%
0-1
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).