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30 Nov 2024 · 13:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.6%
Śląsk Wrocław
22.1%
Draw
19.3%
Puszcza Niepołomice

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Śląsk Wrocław

vs
1.16

Puszcza Niepołomice

Markets

BTTS61.3%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
4.0%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).