Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Burgos
34.1%
Draw
32.2%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Burgos
vs
0.82
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS32.0%
Over 0.581.4%
Over 1.549.8%
Over 2.523.6%
Over 3.59.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.6%
1-0
16.1%
0-1
15.6%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-0
1.9%
0-3
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).