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AHT: 01CSV

22 Dec 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.9%
Morton
33.8%
Draw
36.2%
Inverness C

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Morton

vs
1.13

Inverness C

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.6%
0-0
13.9%
0-1
11.2%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).